Model: Analysis & Framing

Explores structured approaches to problem-solving, simplifying reality, hypothesis testing, and empirical analysis.

  • Thought Experiment

    Thought Experiment

    Use a carefully imagined scenario to test an idea’s logic, expose…

  • The Map is not the Territory

    The Map is not the Territory

    All models are simplifications. Don’t confuse the representation (map, metric, plan,…

  • The Idea Maze

    The Idea Maze

    Before building, map the space: the key forks, dead ends and…

  • SWOT Analysis

    SWOT Analysis

    Map internal factors (Strengths, Weaknesses) and external factors (Opportunities, Threats), then…

  • Regression to the Mean

    Regression to the Mean

    Extreme results are usually followed by more typical ones—even without any…

  • Probabilistic Thinking

    Probabilistic Thinking

    Reason in degrees of belief, not certainties: use base rates, ranges,…

  • Opportunity Cost

    Opportunity Cost

    The real cost of any choice is the next-best alternative you…

  • Law of Diminishing Returns

    Law of Diminishing Returns

    Each extra unit adds less benefit beyond a point; invest until…

  • Lindy Effect

    Lindy Effect

    For non-perishable things (ideas, books, protocols), the older it is, the…

  • Man with a Hammer Syndrome

    Man with a Hammer Syndrome

    Over‑applying a favourite tool (“to a man with a hammer, everything…