Model: Analysis & Framing

Explores structured approaches to problem-solving, simplifying reality, hypothesis testing, and empirical analysis.

  • Multiplying by Zero

    Multiplying by Zero

    A single failure mode can zero the outcome (eg, safety, compliance).

  • Inversion

    Inversion

    Think backwards: define failure and remove its causes; ask the inverse…

  • Pareto Principle (80/20)

    Pareto Principle (80/20)

    A minority of inputs often drives a majority of outcomes. Find…

  • Combinations vs Permutations

    Combinations vs Permutations

    Order matters → permutations. Order doesn’t → combinations. Adjust for with/without…

  • Complex Adaptive Systems

    Complex Adaptive Systems

    Many interacting agents following simple rules create emergent behaviour.

  • Decision Tree

    Decision Tree

    A visual of sequential decisions with probabilities and payoffs; fold back…

  • Distributions

    Distributions

    Outcomes don’t all follow the normal curve. Know the shape and…

  • First Principles Thinking

    First Principles Thinking

    Reduce a problem to its fundamental truths, then reason up from…

  • Falsification

    Falsification

    Popper’s rule: scientific theories must be testable and killable by evidence.

  • Feedback Loops

    Feedback Loops

    Reinforcing and balancing loops drive growth and stability (Meadows).